is a helpful source of reference information about marijuana issues, including more on taxation than I've seen elsewhere.
This blog opposes the thinking behind the slogan “Read my lips! No new taxes!”
The Opinionator feature in the New York Times today, http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/20/drill-baby-drill-and-legalize-baby-leglalize/, points to a piece, http://gregor.us/uncategorized/marijuana-first-then-the-oil/, advocating the taxation of marijuana. It may be time to think that idea through.
(Bills in at least two States would tax marijuana. In
and http://www.mass.gov/legis/bills/senate/186/st01/st01801.htm, would tax on the basis of potency, with rates ranging from $150 to $250 per ounce. Both bills would allow non-legislative authorities to adjust the rate (that power to adjust looks to me like a new and fresh idea):
Figuring out a rate for marijuana starts but does not end with the competing interests of (1) keeping the rate low enough to deter bootlegging thugs like that no good Marlo Stanfield on “The Wire” on the one hand and (2) maximizing revenue on the other.
First, deterring bootleggers doesn’t necessarily mean totally eliminating them. Bootlegging to avoid Federal alcohol or tobacco taxes is not one of our major problems today, so an acceptable target might be to reduce marijuana bootlegging to that order of magnitude. I wonder if the public would tolerate the level of bootlegging involved with those trucks full of cigarettes headed from low tax States to high tax States. See http://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2007/10/business-of-bootlegging.html
Second, maximizing revenue would follow from knowing the elasticity of demand, I guess, but only if you plug bootlegging into that analysis: elasticity analysis will tell how much consumers would buy at what prices, but not whether they would buy from a taxed source or from a bootlegger. Buying from a bootlegger would involve nonfinancial risks or costs: the danger of illegality and the risk of buying something that lacks any imprimatur of genuineness or purity. In any event, “knowing” is a euphemism for what one can understand about the elasticity here – estimating is more accurate.
Beyond those two competing interests, there’s a third consideration, that of the street price. Meanwhile, consumers of marijuana (bless their hearts) would generally be happy enough to get legalization and would not be seeking a price cut. The opponents of legalization (bless their hearts, too) think marijuana is bad for society and would resist a price cut. It’s hard to see the opponents retreating on to taxation and legalization if they foresee cheaper marijuana – and they are in the majority now, at least in Legislatures. So if the revenue-maximizing rate resulted in a lower cost to the consumer than in today’s black market (because the criminal element got no take), it’s hard to imagine that outcome working politically. Any middle ground might well keep the street price at least at current levels.
A friend told me Governor Perdue just let out her tax plan, findable by clicking via http://www.news-record.com/blog/53964/entry/63759.
There are many line items I can’t decipher, but I’ll start with sunsets: automatic termination of rules. The Governor would sunset a number of tax increases. Now I imagine we can find plenty of waste, fraud, abuse, corruption, and irritating bureaucracy here in North Carolina or wherever (and let’s attack all that), but I also understand that just having a road from my house to the grocery store and to the doctor’s office (not to mention having the police) is worth everything I pay in taxes many-fold, so I like sunsets on tax cuts, not on tax increases.
Sales tax sunset
Sunsetting the sales tax increase on October 1, 2010 saddens me. I doubt that our budget will magically come into balance by then, so I suppose the responsible Legislators willing to vote for unpopular taxes today will have to do it again next year. Sorry for the cliché, but this is like cutting the cat’s tail off an inch at a time.
Income tax sunset
Sunsetting the increase in the income tax for folks with huge incomes has the minor benefit of maybe keeping someone from moving away forever in rage or frustration. I can imagine that if the increase were permanent, someone might say, “That’s it. I’ve had it. I’m out of here,” sell out, and leave the Land of the Long Leaf Pine, for a three-quarters of a percent increase, the proverbial straw. But between now and December 31 of next year (2009 is included, I think, if the proposal follows a Senate [make that House] bill, http://www.ncga.state.nc.us/Sessions/2009/Bills/Senate/PDF/S202v6.pdf), will people sell out in this depressed real estate market? Maybe not, but we can probably figure on more folks following the path of a friend of mine who spends at least 183 days in income-tax-free Florida every year and carefully charges something on his credit card there every day to prove he’s not a North Carolina resident.
Automatic sunset
I guess you could solve this problem by saying, “If sales tax receipts in August 2010 equal or exceed $X, this temporary emergency sales tax increase expires on September 30, 2010.” Or something. The idea would be that sales tax receipts are a good measure of economic activity, and to set the $X to sunset the tax if the economy is recovering, but to continue the tax if not. A month’s sales tax receipts might not be enough (are we keeping that strange back-to-school sales tax holiday in August?). And August’s receipts might not be knowable in time for early October action. And that $X threshold creates an undesirable cliff, where one dollar (with rounding, a penny) creates an enormous difference. And there may be a better formula than sales tax receipts, though using sales tax receipts would give more certainty than “a [Federal] rule that would sunset some portion of a legislated tax cut if revenues fell below some x percent of GDP,” http://ntj.tax.org/wwtax%5Cntjrec.nsf/E01BF9150131151385256F3A006591D4/$FILE/Article%2003-Penner.pdf, since GDP (or the State’s actual budget position) takes more interpretation to measure than sales tax receipts take. And sales tax receipts or any formula might not give Legislators much cover. But it’s worth thinking about.
Figuring out the source of income of a cross-border corporation (maybe multinational enterprise is the current lingo) is a task I have left to folks, including some of my best friends, with more patience than I have. The arm’s-length method was a joke, the last time I looked, so worldwide unitary apportionment is my only hope.
The traditional unitary formula weighs property, payroll, and sales equally. That equal weighting may have made sense before we had an information economy, but now, as Charles Kingson pointed out in the inaugural David A. Tillinghast Lecture on International Taxation, 51 Tax. L. Rev. 639, 658 (1996), the property element would force people to “evaluate and locate increasingly elusive intangibles.”
Not only do we have trouble both locating and evaluating intangibles, we may not want to.
I don’t argue that single-factor apportionment using only sales measures income accurately, but neither does the current system. At some point, even if you know where income arises, measuring it gets so difficult that a VAT looks good.
Well, sales taxes in general are regressive. Taxing salt, for example (see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Salt_Satyagraha), is way on up there. But not all sales taxes are regressive: what is a luxury tax other than a sales tax?
About internet sales, I'm not buying the regressivity argument. The kinds of things I buy via the internet are not necessities. Those things have a high value to weight ratio, not the characteristic of most necessities. Food, for example, is a necessity, but food ordered over the internet will tend toward expensive, luxury items. (Prescription drugs are a necessity and cut the other way, but they must make up a small fraction of internet sales.)
There’s some interesting data from 2008 at http://blogs.zdnet.com/ITFacts/?p=14001, which says that of folks who had bought online then, 19 percent had incomes over $100k, while 13 percent had incomes below $25k; of folks who had not bought online then, 7 percent had incomes over $100k, while 19 percent had incomes below $25k.
I don’t know enough about regressivity to make much of a conclusion. Amazon probably has a lot of data – ZIP codes would tell a lot – about the demographics of its customers, but I’m not holding my breath for disclosure.
Anyway, if you don't have a fixed address, computer access (OK, the library can supply that), internet literacy, and a credit card, I don't see how you can buy stuff over the internet.